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枢轴点突破和测试外汇交易策略
- 技术刘
- 2022-05-18 09:55:44
欢迎来到交易侠「技术刘」栏目，我是你们的首席尬聊官大刘。 大刘每日分享的VPC指标目前已添加到交易侠，支持金十数据VIP用户 （点击开通） 或者绑定期货实盘账户的交易侠用户调用。
下面进入正题。周二 现货黄金 震荡下行，欧盘中冲高至1836.08后掉头向下，回吐日内全部涨幅，最终收跌0.5%，报1814.67美元/盎司； 现货白银 收涨0.16%，报21.63美元/盎司。 美元指数 自20年来的高位回落，最终收跌0.902%，报103.3。
周二录得强劲增长的美国4月零售销售表明，尽管通胀居高不下，但需求依然强劲，这缓解了对经济正步入衰退的一些担忧。与此同时，美联储官员继续发表鹰派言论，鲍威尔称，将继续推动紧缩政策，直到通胀明显下降，必要时可能加息至中性水平以上。“鹰王”布拉德的立场向鲍威尔靠拢，重申支持多次加息50个基点，但没有再提及75个基点的加息。美联储埃文斯预计在7月或9月的会议上，将讨论过渡到25个基点的加息。
道明证券大宗商品分析师McKay表示，贵金属市场人气开始下滑，这可能对金价不利，因未来还会有更多的平仓离场，尤其是在美联储继续发出鹰派论调之际。可以反映投资者情绪的是，全球最大黄金ETF--SPDR Gold Trust持仓量处于3月初以来的最低水平。
三菱日联银行外汇分析师认为，由于对全球经济增长的担忧，很难看到美元的基本面发生变化。美元上涨的关键驱动因素是美国经济的表现优于世界其他地区。
截止发稿，现货黄金在关键枢轴点1819.09下方承压看跌，现已跌破首个支撑1813.52，下一支撑关注1802.59；现货白银跌破枢轴点21.65，转为看跌，留意21.57处的支撑，若跌破恐进一步跌至21.25； WTI原油 在多空转折点113.59下方看跌，并进一步跌破第一支撑113.19，下一支撑为111.70；欧元/美元触及第一上行目标1.0556后受阻回落，关注能否再次挑战该水平，下行方面留意1.0524处的支撑；英镑/美元在枢轴点1.2454上方看涨，首个上行目标关注1.05关口，支撑关注1.2470。
常见外汇交易法 （上）
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